As of 2 July 2019 the inshore run is 3,387,471. At this point in the run there is a decent relationship between run to date and final run size (R-square = 0.72, Slope = 1.65; Fig. 1). At this point it looks like you’ll come in at forecast if this run is about 1 day late.
The current projection for three days late is 10,126,017 sockeye.
The current projection for two days late is 9,275,139 sockeye.
The current projection for one day late is 8,597,281 sockeye.
The current projection on time is 7,711,448 sockeye.
The current projection for one day early is 7,065,363 sockeye.
The current projection for two days early is 6,434,721 sockeye.
The current projection for three days early is 5,933,808 sockeye.
Figure 1. Inshore return to date and total run. Red line indicates current run to date.